Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.047101 0.054946 0.063569 0.073732 0.085363 0.098243 0.113565
2025-05-11 0.034985 0.045140 0.057336 0.072992 0.092479 0.115854 0.145926
2025-05-18 0.026345 0.037193 0.051284 0.070775 0.096850 0.130321 0.176297
2025-05-25 0.020570 0.031495 0.046720 0.069211 0.101255 0.144865 0.208205
2025-06-01 0.016922 0.027871 0.044118 0.069556 0.107844 0.162651 0.246152
2025-06-08 0.013672 0.024126 0.040576 0.067763 0.110800 0.175303 0.277913
2025-06-15 0.012207 0.022880 0.040556 0.071160 0.121742 0.200559 0.330576
2025-06-22 0.010415 0.020715 0.038648 0.071129 0.127086 0.217581 0.372093
2025-06-29 0.008684 0.018312 0.035912 0.069217 0.128927 0.228983 0.405499
2025-07-06 0.007412 0.016517 0.033944 0.068295 0.132199 0.242839 0.443957
2025-07-13 0.006899 0.016126 0.034501 0.072008 0.144006 0.272148 0.511015
2025-07-20 0.006316 0.015479 0.034446 0.074506 0.153784 0.298690 0.575416
2025-07-27 0.005362 0.013862 0.032248 0.072590 0.155178 0.310651 0.615570
2025-08-03 0.004657 0.012677 0.030764 0.071915 0.158897 0.327230 0.665683
2025-08-10 0.003949 0.011335 0.028719 0.069755 0.159339 0.337587 0.704995
2025-08-17 0.003393 0.010252 0.027078 0.068225 0.160859 0.350093 0.749410
2025-08-24 0.003028 0.009594 0.026323 0.068572 0.166377 0.370974 0.811910
2025-08-31 0.002601 0.008669 0.024762 0.066805 0.167015 0.381891 0.855220
2025-09-07 0.002473 0.008580 0.025299 0.070161 0.179563 0.418721 0.954575
2025-09-14 0.002208 0.008021 0.024516 0.070131 0.184259 0.439182 1.021278
2025-09-21 0.001906 0.007270 0.023088 0.068244 0.184320 0.449524 1.067202
2025-09-28 0.001678 0.006707 0.022088 0.067334 0.186629 0.465006 1.125424
2025-10-05 0.001621 0.006717 0.022746 0.070999 0.200705 0.508272 1.248204